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Estimated 1RM Ranges

How Output predicts your one-rep max from bar speed, and why it's shown as a range rather than a single number.

Written by Leon Foley

What the estimated 1RM range is

Your estimated 1RM range is a prediction of the heaviest weight you could lift for a single rep, worked out from how fast you move the bar rather than from actually attempting a max lift.

Every time you lift with the Output sensor, we record the speed of each rep at that weight. Lighter weights move quickly and heavier weights move slowly, and the relationship between the two is close to a straight line. Once we have enough sets across different loads, we can extend that line to find the weight at which the bar would barely move — your predicted 1RM. This is called your Load-Velocity Profile.


Why it's a range and not a single number

Your true maximum isn't a fixed number. It shifts with sleep, fatigue, nutrition and how you feel on the day, so a single figure would suggest more precision than really exists.

The top of the range is your predicted 1RM. The bottom is a more conservative estimate based on moving slightly faster than your slowest lifting speed. On a good day you'd expect to be near the top of the range; on a heavy-legged day, nearer the bottom.

Both numbers are rounded to the nearest whole kilogram or pound.


Where to find it

Open the exercise from your history, top performances, or from the baseline widget after a set. The Performance tab opens by default and your estimated 1RM range sits in the Your Progress section.


Reading the chart

The chart above the range shows how your estimate has moved over time, so you can see the trend rather than just today's number. Swipe across it to see what your estimated range was on a given date.

You can change the period using the range selector:

  • 1M — one point per day

  • 3M — one point per week (the default view)

  • 6M — one point per week

  • 1Y — one point per month

On the longer views, several profiles are grouped into a single point and the best value in that period is the one plotted. This means a wider view can look smoother than the shorter ones — it isn't showing different data, just less of the detail.

The timeline always covers the full period you've selected, even where you have no data for part of it. A gap at one end simply means you weren't training that exercise then.


The change figure

Alongside the range you may see a change, such as +5 kg. This compares your most recent profile against the earliest one within the period you've selected on the chart.

Because it follows the range selector, the figure changes when you switch between 1M, 3M, 6M and 1Y. That isn't an inconsistency — each one is answering a different question. A small drop over a month sitting inside a large gain over a year is a normal picture during a hard training block.

It only appears when you have at least two separate profiles in the selected period. With one profile or none, there's nothing to compare against and no change is shown — so widening the range will sometimes make a change figure appear where a shorter view had none.


Estimated 1RM vs. Manually Set 1RM

These are two different numbers and they do two different jobs.

  • Estimated 1RM range is calculated from your lifting speed. It updates on its own as you train.

  • Manually Set 1RM is a single figure you or your coach enter. This is the one used to work out your target weight whenever your coach prescribes a percentage of your 1RM.

Your estimate does not change your programming by itself. If the estimate suggests you've got stronger, you can update your Manually Set 1RM to match — but that's your decision, not something that happens automatically.


If you don't have an estimate yet

You need a few sensor-tracked sets at different weights before a profile can be built. Until then you'll see a prompt rather than a range — keep training with the sensor and it will fill in.

If you haven't lifted with the sensor for a while, we'll show your most recent profile rather than leaving the space empty. Bear in mind that an older estimate reflects the shape you were in when it was built.

Sets you record without a sensor still count towards your personal best, but they can't contribute to a velocity profile.


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